5/10/2023 0 Comments Political party quiz pbs newshourThere's a lot of nuance on abortion restrictionsĪ quarter of respondents said abortion should be available at any point during a pregnancy. Just 40% said they had a great deal or quite a lot of confidence in the court, down 17 points from 2018, the last time Marist asked the question. The leak had another impact - hurting the credibility of the Supreme Court as an institution. (That comes mostly from Democrats - more of whom say they would vote today for a Democrat in their congressional district than approve of the job Biden is doing.) Biden's approval rating in the new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist survey ticked back down to 39%, though it's notable that a generic Democrat is outperforming Biden in the NPR survey. Undoubtedly, though, with inflation remaining high, President Biden's standing is weighing down Democratic candidates across the country. The survey was first reported by Punchbowl News and confirmed by NPR.Ī Democratic official says their polling also shows Democratic House incumbents are averaging about 5 points better than a generic candidate, however. Conducted before the Supreme Court leak, it showed a generic Republican beating a generic Democrat by a 47%-to-39% margin in battleground districts. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has been circulating its latest internal battleground districts poll among the party's House members. And Democrats acknowledge Republicans have the advantage there. Some cold water on these numbers, though - these are national figures, and control of the House isn't determined nationally, but in battleground districts. "My sense of it is that this is not going to be one of those issues that shows up and vanishes soon thereafter," he said, "because so many of the states are going to then have the key decision making role in what the policy is within their jurisdiction." Miringoff sees reason to believe it might. The question is whether this spike for Democrats lasts. Those numbers were within the margin of error, but it was the first time in eight years that Republicans had done that well on the question in the Marist poll. By a 47%-to-42% margin, this survey showed voters would cast their ballot in favor of a Democrat in their local congressional district if the election were held today.įor Democrats, that is a net increase on the so-called congressional ballot test of 8 points from last month's survey, when 47% said they would vote for a Republican, as compared to 44% who said they would vote for a Democrat. The poll was conducted from May 9 to 13 by live interview callers, who reached respondents via cell phone and landline in English and in Spanish.ĭemocrats also got a boost on which party Americans want to control Congress. That means results could be about 4 points higher or lower. The survey of 1,304 adults, including 1,213 registered voters, has a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points when adults are referenced and +/- 4.1 percentage points when referring to voters. "And to have a gap of that magnitude over the Republicans is something that, at this point, should not go unnoticed." "It definitely has them focused as no other issue in the recent months has," said Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, which conducted the poll. The poll shows that two-thirds of Democrats say the contents of the leak make them more likely to vote in November, as compared to just 40% of Republicans who said so. It has fired up Democrats, who had been less enthusiastic about the midterm elections than Republicans, who are favored to take back control of the House and possibly the Senate. The draft decision - which could differ from how the court ultimately rules - is having an impact with voters, according to the survey.
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